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Showing posts with label SABMiller. Show all posts
Showing posts with label SABMiller. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 13, 2016

Asahi Snags Urquell














In the wee hours US time, Asahi announced it had picked up one of the jewels of the brewing world:
HONG KONG — Asahi Group, the Japanese beer giant, said on Tuesday that it would pay $7.8 billion to buy a group of Central and Eastern European beer brands from Anheuser-Busch InBev, in the latest brand shuffle for the rapidly consolidating brewing business.... The latest agreement, which is expected to close in the first half of next year, would give Asahi control of operations that were previously owned by SABMiller in five countries, including Pilsner Urquell, Kozel, Tyskie and other brands.
Asahi is an interesting company. It was the first brewery to introduce "dry beer" back in 1987, and Asahi Super Dry became an influential hit in Japan. That allowed the company to grow, and it began doing all those things we expect from big breweries: entering in agreements with other bigs (Miller, 1995), expanding into other markets (five breweries in China opened by 1999), adding liquor to its portfolio (early '00s), and finally adding food products a couple years later. In the last decade, they began picking up stakes in foreign breweries and then this year really made a move by purchasing some very high-profile European brands outright; in addition to Urquell, they acquired Peroni and Grolsch earlier this year (and were the subject of rumors involving acquisitions of other breweries in Europe and North America).

Asahi has managed to move into Europe thanks to the massive ABI-SABMiller deal, which was approved contingent on those companies dumping some of their assets to preserve competition. It reminds me a bit of a blockbuster sports trade, when other teams are brought in to help move superstars between two principal teams in the deal; in order to make the deals work, they need to move role-players around, too, often to teams not involved in the central deal.












If you're a fan of Urquell (or Grolsh or Peroni), this is probably good news. In making the announcement, Asahi said in a statement that the newly-acquired breweries were “highly compatible with our existing business in Western Europe and will strengthen our business platform, allowing Asahi to grow sustainably across Europe.”

SABMiller has owned Pilsner Urquell since 1999, and their approach hasn't always been clear. To their credit, they've maintained the grounds Urquell owns, which are honestly an international treasure, and have kept the brewing onsite in the more inefficient plant with all its oddities (decoction brewing, onsite maltings). But they've also periodically tried to Heineken-ize the brand, making it a more industrial and generic product in order to turn it into an international brand. Those two impulses were in conflict, and the brand suffered. SABMiller seemed to abandon the generic-and-big strategy in the last couple years, though, and had gone back to accentuating its heritage and unique and unusual flavor palate.

I'll be honest; if I were a billionaire, I'd have tried to buy Urquell myself. It is without question the most influential brewery in world history. The brewery itself is a treasure with its miles of cellars, those maltings, and gracious (and spacious) campus. Going there is like visiting a beery Vatican City. The value of the beer and brand seem enormously under-utilized right now, and I can imagine that in the hands of the right company it might well rejoin the ranks of the world's most-respected breweries. SABMiller has let it languish.

It is not the kind of workhorse that will deliver 30 million barrels of sales (if memory serves, they actually brew around a couple million). But, in the post-craft world, where brewing quirks, heritage, and localness are valuable assets, few breweries have as much upside as Pilsner Urquell. Asahi may not be assembling a portfolio of the biggest players, but they have found some excellent smaller breweries. It's an unusual approach that uses a different logic than ABI, and I'll be watching closely to see how it continues and how it pans out.


Friday, July 22, 2016

The DOJ Clips AB InBev's Wings in Merger

I'm really getting tired of business news, aren't you? I'm going to try to talk about it less in the future. But when a $107 billion merger of the two largest beer companies in the world is approved by the US Department of Justice, clearing a path for a titan that will control a third of the world's beer production, I should at least acknowledge it in passing. And the news is actually good.















In its approval, the DOJ did two things that will ensure ABI's position in the US doesn't improve much. I was really dreading this merger, and I still think it's going to have malign effects on the world market. But in the US? Not so much. There were two issues here, control of the US market and distribution, and the DOJ addressed both (the full ruling is here).

Spin-Off MillerCoors
As expected, ABI has to spin off MillerCoors as a part of the deal. DOJ: "The settlement requires ABI to divest SABMiller’s entire U.S. business – including SABMiller’s ownership interest in MillerCoors, the right to brew and sell certain SABMiller beers in the United States and the worldwide Miller beer brand rights." This is not unexpected, and has been an acknowledged assumption about what it would take to get the deal past US regulators.

Restrictions on Distribution
More importantly, the DOJ puts strict limits on what ABI can direct its distributors/wholesalers to do, and how many distributor/wholesalers they may own. The press release doesn't detail these, so I'll turn directly to the ruling for the language. Here is the DOJ on the amount of the wholesale market ABI can directly control. "Defendant ABI shall not acquire any equity interests in, or any ownership or control of the assets of, a Distributor if (i) such acquisition would transform said Distributor into  an ABI-Owned Distributor, and (ii) as measured  on the day of entering into an agreement for  such acquisition more than ten percent (10%), by volume."

And here they are on the question of whether ABI can demand certain measures of loyalty from their independent wholesalers. "Defendant ABI shall not unilaterally, or pursuant to the terms of any contract or agreement, provide any reward or penalty to, or in any other way condition its relationship with, an Independent Distributor or any employees or  agents of that Independent Distributor based  upon the amount of sales the Independent Distributor makes of a Third-Party Brewer’s Beer or the marketing, advertising, promotion, or retail placement of such Beer."

The second condition is especially important. Recently ABI had instituted the Voluntary Anheuser-Busch Incentive for Performance Program (VAIP), which incentivized loyalty among its independent distributors. (Why they rolled that out when the merger was pending is anyone's guess. Seems hopelessly clueless to me.)

The DOJ's stipulations were stringent enough that even the Brewers Association, the trade organization that represents small breweries, gave it a qualified thumbs up. All of which means you can safely return to ignoring this issue and just enjoy your fine pint of ale.

One last note. Interestingly, despite having made it over this regulatory hurdle, the merger may not go forward after all--in part thanks to the Brexit.
The takeover of the London-listed brewer has come under scrutiny in recent weeks as a drop in the British currency has reduced the relative attractiveness of the all-cash offer aimed at most SAB shareholders. A source familiar with the matter told Reuters on Wednesday that the company’s board was weighing the terms of AB InBev’s offer, amid rising shareholder disquiet.
Stay tuned.